Gone with the Wind: Renewable Energy Infrastructure, Welfare, and Redistribution
McCord Hall 422
Electricity production from wind and solar energy is projected to grow twelvefold until 2050. This paper
studies the impact of renewable energy infrastructure on surrounding neighborhoods, its potential welfare
costs for residents, and the implications for inequality. I focus on the wind energy expansion in Germany,
2000-2017. Using neighborhood data at 1-by-1 kilometer resolution and a novel IV strategy that exploits
technology-induced changes in effective wind potential, I document that wind turbines decrease house
prices and lead to residential sorting driven by the emigration of college-educated residents. Combined
with a theory-consistent revealed preference argument, the reduced form results suggest that residents
would be willing to pay between 0.9 and 1.4 percent of their income to avoid an additional wind turbine.
I develop and estimate a quantitative spatial model in which wind turbines decrease amenities, residents
can adapt, for example through sorting, and housing and labor markets respond in general equilibrium.
The quantified model suggests that the disamenities from the total wind turbine expansion cost residents
0.83 percent of welfare or 31 billion USD. Allocating wind turbines to neighborhoods with low willingness-
to-pay substantially reduces welfare costs but also places the burden on rural, poorer, and less educated
regions. Finally, I discuss Germany’s wind development plans for 2030, and the implications for welfare
and inequality.